Will China continue to remain neutral on Ukraine?

October 23, 2022

I think the question is wrong and should be reframed – how is it possible for China to remain neutral on Ukraine? That is because China is already subjected to a pheltora of US inspired sanctions in telecommunications, banking, intellectual property and most recently high end technology and super microchips. This should prompt many to ask the supplementary question – how is China expected to react to all these de facto trade and material embargoes and sanctions? The way I see it is like this China needs to perpetuate its space, nuclear and military program and for them to continue to do all these coherently for the next decade and beyond. They need high end tech inputs and most of this can really only come from the West. But if the West doesn’t want to cooperate and stand in as the tech supplier, then China has no other option but to turn to Russia and possibly Iran. Hence I see the China and Russian alliance as something inevitable. Perhaps not in the short term, but in the long run, this will probably be a set piece of what we term the multipolar world order.

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