Who stands to lose big time from the closure of USAID?

Q: Which country will be most affected by the new Trump administration?

A: The mini skirt answer is the Philippines simply because many of the state run bureacracy along with their complimentary apparatus that is based in the remote regions of Mindanao will simply not be able to do what they do without USAID hand outs. We are likely to see a complete breakdown of both public and private services in Mindanao. To exacerbate matters the Philippine security services is 100% reliant of US hand me down hardware, so we are likely to see many of these assets degrade. I think the days of Marcos Junior strolling into the oval office is well and truly over under Trump. The second deep wound will be immigration – philippinoes make up one of the largest illegal migrants into the US. This is a very important source of foreign revenue for the Philippines.

Q: Do you think Elon Musk who currently heads the new DOGE will be able to revamp USAID?

A: Understand this! USAID is an affliate of the CIA and it is also a proxy of the NSA. These arent institutions which are optimised for efficiency. That metric doesnt exist in their key performance scorecard. They exist to fulfill a very specialised function that renders them intrinsically inefficient and wasteful. So I am doubtful that Elon Musk can achieve what he sets out to do…..